Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 1.851298 2.109253 2.389529 2.716605 3.087771 3.495854 3.978563
2025-10-19 1.487483 1.847611 2.272815 2.811611 3.476035 4.268558 5.285943
2025-10-26 1.242925 1.639206 2.134838 2.799719 3.668074 4.763671 6.251619
2025-11-02 1.075111 1.489644 2.033268 2.797514 3.843800 5.226044 7.191893
2025-11-09 0.928971 1.343845 1.910872 2.741253 3.925665 5.554219 7.965032
2025-11-16 0.837090 1.258582 1.856354 2.764320 4.107704 6.021912 8.958604
2025-11-23 0.765000 1.191551 1.817305 2.800036 4.303477 6.516581 10.024152
2025-11-30 0.691886 1.113723 1.752348 2.786928 4.419648 6.896742 10.943106
2025-12-07 0.620555 1.030322 1.669315 2.735157 4.467024 7.170058 11.712363
2025-12-14 0.555824 0.950327 1.583002 2.667865 4.479956 7.384925 12.398903
2025-12-21 0.506501 0.890436 1.522738 2.635717 4.543972 7.681542 13.235686
2025-12-28 0.495173 0.893523 1.566094 2.779322 4.910912 8.499617 15.004261
2026-01-04 0.454926 0.846001 1.525526 2.786447 5.065119 9.007453 16.350126
2026-01-11 0.431121 0.826175 1.532535 2.880680 5.386218 9.840114 18.362886
2026-01-18 0.394729 0.778705 1.484489 2.868637 5.511553 10.333916 19.805162
2026-01-25 0.363858 0.738096 1.444469 2.866373 5.652654 10.865367 21.361746
2026-02-01 0.329689 0.687147 1.379446 2.808745 5.680793 11.185785 22.541682
2026-02-08 0.308480 0.659822 1.357242 2.832373 5.868521 11.824234 24.396259
2026-02-15 0.290653 0.637470 1.342489 2.868956 6.084415 12.534194 26.455055
2026-02-22 0.269532 0.605821 1.305535 2.855530 6.195289 13.041908 28.143173
2026-03-01 0.246823 0.568268 1.252508 2.802501 6.217007 13.367462 29.476518
2026-03-08 0.224989 0.530315 1.194885 2.733574 6.197249 13.602931 30.635336
2026-03-15 0.208154 0.501947 1.155372 2.700646 6.252741 14.001737 32.183692